The Russia–Ukraine War
By Asymmetric Analytics
Why it matters
The Russia–Ukraine war links military capacity, industrial production, public finance, and alliance policy. Changes on the battlefield can alter energy flows, government spending, sanctions, and expectations well beyond the region. This report explains those connections and tracks the evidence that could change them.
Putin Floats a Trump–Xi Meeting. The Real Question Is Who Gets a Seat on Ukraine
When Allies Control the Chokepoints: The Limits of Wartime Autonomy
Announced Energy Ceasefire Has Not Produced a Verifiable Halt
Trump Turns to Putin for Diesel as Ukraine's Refinery War Threatens Global Fuel Supplies
Trump Signals Support for Putin–Xi Talks. Will China Join?
Trump Waives the Graham Act's Russia Tariffs and Specified Sanctions
Russian Crude Flows East as Europe Counts the Cost of Its Energy Break
Ukraine's 2027 War Budget Confronts a New Financing Gap
The Diesel Trap: How Ukraine's War on Russian Refineries Is Rewriting American Foreign Policy
The Great-Power Bargain: Is Ukraine the Opening Bid in a Reordered World?
1914, 1939, 2026: The Dangerous Illusion That War Can Be Controlled
The Drone War Has an Awkward Supplier: China Makes the Parts
Bank of Russia Holds at 14% and Pushes Its Expected Rate Path Higher for 2027
Diesel at $6.699 in Salt Lake City as IEA Warns Supply Will Stay Tight Well Into 2027
The United States Is Cutting MEXC Out of Its Financial System
The Great Unwind: War, Debt, AI and the Coming Test of Global Liquidity
When Allies Become Variables: Is America Repricing Its Security Commitments?
Places in this story
Russia, Ukraine
Made with Natural Earth